Should I take my umbrella Should I buy insurance Which horse should I bet on Every day in business, in love affairs, in forecasting the weather or the stock market questions arise which cannot be answered by a simple yes or no Many of these questions involve probability Probabilistic thinking is as crucially important in ordinary affairs as it is in the mo Should I take my umbrella Should I buy insurance Which horse should I bet on Every day in business, in love affairs, in forecasting the weather or the stock market questions arise which cannot be answered by a simple yes or no Many of these questions involve probability Probabilistic thinking is as crucially important in ordinary affairs as it is in the most abstruse realms of science.This book is the best nontechnical introduction to probability ever written Its author, the late Dr Warren Weaver, was a professor of mathematics, active in the Rockefeller and Sloan foundations , an authority on communications and probability, and distinguished for his work at bridging the gap between science and the average citizen In accessible language and drawing upon the widely diverse writings of thinkers like Kurt Godel, Susanne K.Langer, and Nicholas Bernoulli, Dr Weaver explains such concepts as permutations, independent events, mathematical expectation, the law of averages, Chebychev s theorem, the law of large numbers, and probability distributions He uses a probabilistic viewpoint to illuminate such matters as rare events and coincidences, and also devotes space to the relations of probability and statistics, gambling, and modern scientific research Dr Weaver writes with wit, charm and exceptional clarity His mathematics is elementary, grasp of the subject profound, and examples fascinating They are complemented by 49 deligh
Lady Luck The Theory of Probability Should I take my umbrella Should I buy insurance Which horse should I bet on Every day in business in love affairs in forecasting the weather or the stock market questions arise which cannot be answ
The main strength of Mr Weaver s Lady Luck lies in its sheer readability Mr Weaver is very careful about presenting his arguments so that they may have maximum intuitive appeal, while at the same time refusing to compromise the mathematical rigor that is necessary to construct any serious theory of rudimentary probability What is most important about the work is that it provides the reader an extremely entertaining and well written framework for thinking about questions of probability A concept [...]
Interesting at first especially with the cold war comments but I quickly tired of it and have now set this book aside If you have no background in probability this is probably a good starting point for an easy read.
Weaver s book is not a text book It s of a declaration of love for probability, coupled with the drive to bring some basic facts about the topic to the widest possible range of readers So don t expect to see lots of mathematical sophistication, don t expect a wide coverage of topics, and don t expect lecture notes for a university level course On the other hand you can expect a thorough understanding of basic probability delivered in an entertaining and sometimes even imaginative way True, the [...]
What a great book.This isn t a comprehensive introduction to probability and statistics, but it s a good book to get your feet wet and stretch your brain.It doesn t treat you like an idiot and it moves fast, but if you re willing to slow down and reread a few of the chapters you ll be rewarded with that awesome click where everything slides into place.Plus it s got that cute cold war retro vibe that can only come from a time where everyone nukes everyone else was not a statistical outlier.
The number of permutations of n objects taken r at a time is n n r I expect I was forced to memorize this at one point in my high school career and promptly forgot it _Lady Luck_ takes 87 pages to get to this point, going far out of its way not to startle, bore, or frighten the reader into abandoning the text The approach is quaint perhaps annoyingly so, but this was an old fashioned book even in 1963 , but it works I m still reading, and important, I m learning.
A charming basic introduction to probability and statistics If you re looking for an in depth textbook, this is not the book you want If instead you re looking for a gentle guided tour with some math always carefully explained , this book would be hard to beat.
Fine primer for a non mathematician who is not afraid to do a little algebra Dated references give the book a hokey charm.